There is a very powerful factor beneath the near-rabid assertions by President
Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu that Iran's three
nuclear enrichment facilities were completely obliterated by American bunker
buster bombs.
By all signs, this is not true. But it is the very foundation of the cover story
for Israel's absolute defeat in its recent 12-Day
War of Aggression that it
inflicted on Iran. If the nuclear sites were not destroyed, then the U.S. and
Israel would be bound to resume the war because of that supposedly horrifying
danger of Iran creating and weaponizing a nuclear bomb, its prevention being the
ostensible purpose of the sneak U.S. attack while Iran was still negotiating a
resolution with the U.S.
Their problem is that Israel blundered big-time by attacking Iran. Israel is
incapable of fighting anything but short wars. Iran, on the other hand, has been
preparing for war with the U.S. since the Iranian Revolution in 1979. (In fact,
Iran lost about 500,000 souls in a U.S.-instigated six-year war on Iran that saw
the U.S. providing poison gas and targeting information for gas attacks on
Iranian soldiers.)
Israel is tiny geographically and has an estimated population in 2025 of
slightly over 10 million. Iran is nearly the size of Alaska, the largest U.S.
state. It has a population of about 90 million. It's populace is well-educated.
It produces its own guided missiles, including hypersonic missiles that are so
fast and maneuverable that there is no defense against them. And Iran has
produced a lot of them. Neither the U.S. nor Israel have maneuverable hypersonic
missiles.
Israel's battle plan depended on the war being short and victorious. But Iran
responded with a long war strategy of attrition. It targeted Israel with
barrages of drones and older missiles, forcing Israel to badly deplete its stock
of interceptor missiles. Iran used a few of its hypersonic missiles but saved
most of them in reserve to finish the job once Israel ran out of interceptor
missiles. The U.S. suffered a similar depletion U.S. interceptor missiles fired
from naval vessels and carrier-based aircraft. Both Israel and the U.S. Navy
were running low on interceptors./1
Many of the older Iranian missiles made it through. Israel's Iron Dome, its
Arrow defensive system and the AEGIS-equipped U.S. Navy could not cope with the
Iranian rate of fire and the speed of its missiles. Larry Johnson has a good
summary of the damage on Israel inflicted by Iran.
https://sonar21.com/the-war-on-iran-is-not-over/
(Israel severely censored damage reporting, so it is probably far more severe
than Johnson described at the time.)
In short, Israel was wide open for a fatal set of shots by hypersonic missiles.
It had to end that war fast. Donald Trump to the rescue with 14 bunker buster
Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) bombs (out of the reported entire U.S. supply
of 20, so only 6 MOPs left.) And a proclamation of complete obliteration of
Iran's non-existent nuclear weapons program. He was quickly joined by Bibi
Netanyahu, who also loudly proclaimed success in obliterating the purported
Iranian nuclear threat.
During the U.S. attack, Donald Trump announced that the U.S. bombing mission was
a one-off and wouldn't be repeated if Iran did not attack U.S. bases in the
Mideast. But in negotiations, the U.S. consented to Iran doing a token attack on
a U.S. base in Qatar, followed by a cease fire.
And a blast of false publicity, claiming victory for the U.S. and Israel.
But the supposed Iranian nuclear threat was never the real reason for the
Israeli and U.S. war on Iran. Close observers agree that the real motive was the
overthrow of the Iranian government, balkanizing it into smaller puppet states,
and grabbing its natural resources.(/2) But according to public statements, the nuclear weapons threat had to have
been convincingly eliminated, else the war would have to continue. And neither
Israel nor the U.S. had any interest in stepping back into the Iranian
firestorm's maelstrom.
So the lie about the U.S. bombing's success was essential: (i) to save face for
Israel and the U.S.; and (ii) providing a "victory" excuse for ending
the war without overthrowing the Iranian government.
That is why Mr. Trump and Mr. Netanyahu are so angry about news that casts doubt
on their lie. They do not want to admit defeat by Iran. But they are being
severely questioned by the media about it.
In sum, Trump and Netanyahu are totally committed to their lie. Apparently, Iran
will now enrich uranium without Israeli and U.S. interference. So the lie can
accually preserve the peace. But there is a danger in pushing the issue of the
lie; it is a lie intended to justify peace. Shattering the lie might goad Trump
and Netanyahu into resuming the war, perhaps with more powerful weapons,
e.g., tactical nuclear bombs.
Notes:
(1) See e.g., NBC: Israel is running out of weapons and ammunition. (25
June 2025). EADaily.
https://eadaily.com/en/news/2025/06/25/nbc-israel-is-running-out-of-weapons-and-ammunition; and America Is Running Out of THAAD Ammunition for Israel (30 June
2025), Msn.com. Available at:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/america-is-running-out-of-thaad-ammunition-for-israel/ar-AA1GXsEX
(Accessed: June 30, 2025); Paul McLeary, et al (1 July 2025),
“Pentagon halting some promised munitions for Ukraine,” Politico.
Available at:
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/07/01/pentagon-munitions-ukraine-halt-00436048
(Accessed: July 2, 2025). (Note that U.S. naval vessels must return to port to
have missiles replaced.)
(2) Michael Hudson (23 June 2025), Why America is at War with Iran, Michael Hudson. Available at:
https://michael-hudson.com/2025/06/why-america-is-at-war-with-iran/
(Accessed: July 2, 2025); see also later video interview on the same topic, with
transcript:
https://michael-hudson.com/2025/07/the-war-beneath-the-war/.
Once again, a lie, within a lie covered by a lie. We need to dump Trump
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