Testing My Crystal Ball: What Trump Wlll Do about Venezuela

Gee! I wonder why the best coverage I've run across on the danger of U.S. war with Venezuela comes in an oil industry publication? Take a look at this Reuters article[1], from BOE Reports. In summary, they report that Trump offered Maduro safe passage if he wants to leave with a time limit, and the time limit has expired. 

What will Trump do?  Venezuela reportedly has what it takes to fight a long-term guerrilla war against an occupying U.S. force. So watch for a repeat of the treatment given to Manuel Noriega of Panama; helicopter-borne assault troops backed by fighter jets swoop out of the night sky in an attempt to snatch Maduro. The U.S. takes temporary control of Caracas. 

In my opinion, that's the least violent thing Trump can do if Maduro doesn't go. And Venezuela has what it takes to fight a long-term guerrilla war against an invading force. So a fast in-and-out is the best alternative to a Viet Nam War-like quagmire, a clean shot at ending this quickly. Even if it is unsuccessful, such a mission delivers a big message. 

But the Venezuelan people can kiss the world's largest proven reserves of oil goodbye. With only token payments by U.S. oil companies for the theft. So a fast in-and-out is the best shot at ending this quickly, whilst least endangering Trump's coveted Nobel Peace Prize. Even if it is unsuccessful, such a mission delivers a big message. 

Caveat, my crystal ball is a 1946 model and is showing its age. And I haven't found it particularly reliable over the years. This is only a test. You've been warned. 

[1]. Reuters. Trump Rejected Maduro Requests on Call, Options Narrow for Venezuela Leader, Sources Say. BOE Report. December 1, 2025. Accessed December 2, 2025. https://boereport.com/2025/12/01/trump-rejected-maduro-requests-on-call-options-narrow-for-venezuela-leader-sources-say/. Notice that they apparently have been given access to the negotiations between Trump and Maduro.